MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 15:14:57| >> :60:142:142:
Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Forthbank Stadium

Stirling University
4 - 0
Livingston U21s

Russell (3'), Malcolm (70'), McIvor Redwood (72'), Tallen (87')
Southern (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Stenhouse (30'), Allan (34'), Ledingham (80')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Stirling University and Livingston Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Dundee Utd 3-0 Stirling University
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
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Last Game: Celtic Res. 3-0 Livingston U21s
Wednesday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling University win with a probability of 71.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Livingston Under-21s had a probability of 11.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stirling University win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 3-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Livingston Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling University would win this match.

Result
Stirling UniversityDrawLivingston Under-21s
71.77% (-1.786 -1.79) 16.31% (0.864 0.86) 11.91% (0.917 0.92)
Both teams to score 56.01% (-0.188 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.22% (-1.732 -1.73)32.77% (1.728 1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.54% (-2.024 -2.02)54.46% (2.018 2.02)
Stirling University Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.98% (-0.779 -0.78)8.01% (0.774 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.76% (-1.996 -2)28.23% (1.991 1.99)
Livingston Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.89% (0.305 0.31)39.1% (-0.31 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.18% (0.287 0.29)75.82% (-0.292 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Stirling University 71.77%
    Livingston Under-21s 11.91%
    Draw 16.31%
Stirling UniversityDrawLivingston Under-21s
2-0 @ 9.98% (0.146 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.215 0.22)
3-0 @ 8.4% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-0 @ 7.91% (0.418 0.42)
3-1 @ 7.89% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-0 @ 5.3% (-0.351 -0.35)
4-1 @ 4.98% (-0.286 -0.29)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.68% (-0.293 -0.29)
5-1 @ 2.51% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-2 @ 2.34% (-0.113 -0.11)
5-2 @ 1.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
6-0 @ 1.13% (-0.173 -0.17)
6-1 @ 1.06% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 71.77%
1-1 @ 7.43% (0.451 0.45)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.137 0.14)
0-0 @ 3.13% (0.281 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 16.31%
1-2 @ 3.49% (0.239 0.24)
0-1 @ 2.94% (0.286 0.29)
0-2 @ 1.38% (0.145 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.09% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 11.91%

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