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Raith Rovers
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stark's Park
Inverness CT

Raith Rovers
1 - 0
Inverness

Gullan (87')
Dick (62'), Watson (90'), Watson (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gilmour (8'), Devine (84')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Raith Rovers and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Raith Rovers 3-0 Cliftonville
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Arbroath 4-2 Inverness
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Raith Rovers in this match.

Result
Raith RoversDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
52.92% (0.61 0.61)23.38% (-0.234 -0.23)23.7% (-0.382 -0.38)
Both teams to score 55.59% (0.328 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (0.646 0.65)45.06% (-0.65000000000001 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.59% (0.617 0.62)67.41% (-0.621 -0.62)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83% (0.45999999999999 0.46)17% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.87% (0.813 0.81)47.12% (-0.817 -0.82)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (0.021999999999991 0.02)33.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (0.026 0.03)69.61% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 52.92%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 23.7%
    Draw 23.38%
Raith RoversDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 9.95% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.77% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 5.21% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.048 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 52.92%
1-1 @ 11.02% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.38%
0-1 @ 6.22% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 23.7%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Inverness
2-0
Raith Rovers
Henderson (12'), Shaw (21')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Raith Rovers
2-2
Inverness
Vaughan (29'), Connolly (62')
Henderson (49'), Mckay (83')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Inverness
1-1
Raith Rovers
Deas (38')
Stanton (13')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Raith Rovers
0-2
Inverness

Dick (26'), Easton (89')
Allardice (61' pen.), Mckay (90+2')
Carson (45+1')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Raith Rovers
2-3
Inverness
Connolly (13'), Poplatnik (30')
Stanton (22'), Williamson (56'), Dick (90+3')
Benedictus (71'), Williamson (90+4')
Sutherland (27'), Chalmers (89', 90+2')
Welsh (70'), Broadfoot (71'), Samuels (76'), McAlear (90+5')
rhs 2.0


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