Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 86.57%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 4.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 4-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.22%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-2 (1.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.