Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
2 - 6
New Saints

Hulbert (62', 90+3')
Veale (26'), George (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Young (20', 73', 87'), Davies (66'), Daniels (83'), Greening (86' og.)
Redmond (52')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 2-0 Pontypridd
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-2 East Fife (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, October 14 at 5.15pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 77.89%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 8.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.49%) and 0-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 1-0 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawThe New Saints
8.01% (0.0231 0.02)14.1% (0.07 0.07)77.89% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Both teams to score 48.27% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.43% (-0.26899999999999 -0.27)34.57% (0.266 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.49% (-0.301 -0.3)56.5% (0.297 0.3)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.99% (-0.135 -0.13)48% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.76% (-0.099 -0.1)83.23% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.83% (-0.080000000000013 -0.08)7.17% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.94% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)26.06% (0.205 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 8.01%
    The New Saints 77.88%
    Draw 14.1%
Barry Town UnitedDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 2.53% (0.024 0.02)
2-1 @ 2.44% (0.004 0)
2-0 @ 0.93% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 8.01%
1-1 @ 6.66% (0.039 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.44% (0.047 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 14.1%
0-2 @ 11.95% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-3 @ 10.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.07% (0.086 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 6.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 5.08% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-5 @ 3.65% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-6 @ 1.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-6 @ 1.18% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-5 @ 0.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 77.88%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
New Saints
2-2
Barry
Roscrow (55'), Williams (81')
Hulbert (85'), McLaggon (90+6')
McLaggon (43'), Lewis (64')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Barry
1-2
New Saints
Wharton (70')
McLaggon (41'), Press (51')
Redmond (4'), Williams (63')
Astles (25')
Sep 18, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 6
New Saints
3-1
Barry
Williams (19'), Baker (50'), McManus (90+4')
Baker (25'), Davies (32'), McManus (37'), Williams (88')
Abbruzzese (29')
Kavanagh (35')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
New Saints
3-0
Barry
Brobbel (46', 71' pen.), Cieslewicz (66')
Redmond (86')

Wharton (22'), Patten (38'), Jarvis (45+2'), Patten (54'), Bird (62'), Hugh (71'), Sainty (77')
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Barry
0-6
New Saints
Brobbel (27', 35', 48', 57'), Roscrow (32'), Astles (52')