Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 0
Barry

Venables (20')
Kircough (90'), Venables (90+4'), Venables (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Davies (16'), George (63')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Barry Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-2 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, September 22 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 3-1 Bala Town
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 61.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 16.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawBarry Town United
61.89% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)21.58% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)16.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.82% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)69.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.36% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)14.64% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.23%42.77%
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)41.63% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.89% (-0.012 -0.01)78.11% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 61.88%
    Barry Town United 16.53%
    Draw 21.57%
Pen-y-BontDrawBarry Town United
1-0 @ 11.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 9.86%
3-0 @ 7.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.31%
4-0 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.33%
5-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 61.88%
1-1 @ 10.26%
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 21.57%
0-1 @ 5.34%
1-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 16.53%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Barry
0-0
Pen-y-Bont
Cotterill (16'), McLaggon (88'), Abbruzzese (90')
MacDonald (13'), Wood (35'), Borge (87')
Feb 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Pen-y-Bont
4-0
Barry
Wood (43' pen.), Jefferies (48'), Davies (77'), Clutton (89')
Whitmore (20'), Watts (51'), Harling (51'), Clutton (64')

Green (29'), Press (51'), Jones (77')
Apr 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Pen-y-Bont
2-0
Barry
Wood (7'), Owen (70')
Davies (49')

Abbruzzese (72')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Barry
3-3
Pen-y-Bont
Bird (10'), McLaggon (25'), Cotterill (42')
Cummings (42'), McLaggon (45'), Kavanagh (67')
Ahmun (40', 72'), Harris (56')
Yakubu (27'), Harris (28'), Jefferies (39'), Davies (67')
Jefferies (57')
Mar 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Pen-y-Bont
1-0
Barry
Owen (72' pen.)
Owen (27'), Georgievsky (70'), Morris (89'), Davies (90+3')

Cotterill (47'), Sainty (49'), McDonald (73')