Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 74.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 10.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.