Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm

1

4

HT : 1 0

FT The KYMCO Stadium

Chris Venables 8'
Josh Yorwerth 28'
Chris Venables 34'
Lewis Harling 60'
Gabe Kircough 90'+1'

Jordan Williams 34'
Brad Young 51'
Brad Young 57'
Ryan Brobbel 67'
Ryan Brobbel 83'

Pen-y-Bont vs The New Saints - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions

L
W
W
W
L
L

Welsh Premier League

L
W
W
W
L
L

Last game

Sep 30, 2023 5.15pm

Connah's Quay 4 - 2 Pen-y-Bont

Goals scored

52

Top scorer

Chris Venables

The New Saints

All competitions

W
W
W
W
D
W

Welsh Premier League

W
W
W
W
D
W

Last game

Sep 30, 2023 2.30pm

New Saints 4 - 0 Pontypridd

Goals scored

117

Top scorer

Brad Young

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result

Pen-y-Bont 19.29% ▲ (+0.01)

Draw 23.23% ▲ (+0.04)

The New Saints 57.49% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

49.87% ▼ (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.4% ▼ (-0.13)

Under 2.5 49.6% ▲ (+0.13)

Over 3.5 28.37% ▼ (-0.12)

Under 3.5 71.62% ▲ (+0.12)

Over 4.5 13.56% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 4.5 86.43% ▲ (+0.08)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 60.09% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 0.5 39.9% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 1.5 23.43% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 1.5 76.57% ▲ (+0.07)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 82.99% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 0.5 17.01% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 1.5 52.86% ▼ (-0.11)

Under 1.5 47.13% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

Pen-y-Bont 19.29%

Draw 23.22%

The New Saints 57.48%

Pen-y-Bont

1-0 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.02)

2-1 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2.19%

Total : 19.29%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.04% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.04)

2-2 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.9%

Total : 23.22%

The New Saints

0-1 @ 12.02% ▲ (+0.04)

0-2 @ 10.65% ▲ (+0.02)

1-2 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.02)

0-4 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.02)

1-4 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.02)

2-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 3.79%

Total : 57.48%

Head to Head

Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm

2

5

HT : 0 2

FT The KYMCO Stadium

Keyon Reffell 55'
Nathan Wood 85'

Declan McManus 31'
Daniel Redmond 39'
Ash Baker 71'
Declan McManus 72'
Daniel Davies 80'

Feb 25, 2023 12.45pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Park Hall Stadium

Leo Smith 18'

Nathan Wood 81'

Nov 19, 2022 5.15pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT The KYMCO Stadium

Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Park Hall Stadium

Daniel Redmond 56'
Ryan Brobbel 90'+1'

Kane Owen 30'

Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm

1

2

HT : 1 1

FT

Ben Ahmun 6'
Rhys Griffiths 28'
Craig Rogers 83'

Ryan Brobbel 21'
Daniel Davies 26'
Ryan Brobbel 57'
Louis Robles 81'
Ryan Astles 82'

Mar 12, 2022 12.45pm

3

3

HT : 0 2

FT Park Hall Stadium

Keston Davies 26'
Ben Clark 64'
Jordan Williams 72'
Lewis Harling 76'
Ash Baker 81'

Nathan Wood 31'
Kane Owen 34'
Sam Snaith 44'
Lewis Harling 68'
Liam Walsh 89'

Form Data

Connah's Quay 4 - 2 Pen-y-Bont

Pen-y-Bont 1 - 0 Barry

Aberystwyth 1 - 2 Pen-y-Bont

Pen-y-Bont 3 - 2 Caernarfon

Pen-y-Bont 0 - 1 Colwyn Bay

Bala Town 2 - 1 Pen-y-Bont

New Saints 4 - 0 Pontypridd

Caernarfon 1 - 3 New Saints

Cardiff MU 1 - 5 New Saints

New Saints 5 - 1 Haverfordwest

Bala Town 0 - 0 New Saints

Hibernian U21s 0 - 3 New Saints