Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 8, 2023 at 6pm UK
Meadowbank Stadium

Hibernian U21s
0 - 3
New Saints


McGarva (61'), Whittaker (64'), Smith (75')
FT(HT: 0-2)
McGregor (4' og.), Clark (36'), Young (54')
Redmond (12'), Daniels (63')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Hibernian Under-21s and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian Under-21s

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Last Game: Brechin 0-4 Hibernian U21s
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
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The New Saints

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 6-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 77.63%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Hibernian Under-21s had a probability of 7.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.68%) and 0-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Hibernian Under-21s win it was 1-0 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Hibernian Under-21sDrawThe New Saints
7.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)14.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)77.63% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.87% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.77% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)36.23% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.65% (-0.058 -0.06)58.35% (0.061 0.06)
Hibernian Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.72% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)49.28% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.85% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)84.15% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.41% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)7.59% (0.011 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.83% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)27.17% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian Under-21s 7.98%
    The New Saints 77.62%
    Draw 14.39%
Hibernian Under-21sDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 2.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 2.42% (-0.004 -0)
2-0 @ 0.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 7.98%
1-1 @ 6.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.74% (0.01 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 14.39%
0-2 @ 12.43% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.65% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 7.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-4 @ 6.89% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-4 @ 4.87% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-5 @ 3.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.51% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.72% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.53%
1-6 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 77.62%