Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round

Aug 15, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Glebe Park

Brechin
0 - 4
Hibernian U21s

Duell (44'), Thomson (87')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Allan Molotnikov (13'), Megwa (37'), Smith (77', 83')
McAllister (50'), Mcgarva (79')

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Brechin City and Hibernian Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brechin City

All competitions

Scottish Challenge Cup

Last Game: Brechin 2-2 Hearts U21s (5-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Bonnyrigg Rose	3	1.50	Barrett
2	Peterhead	3	1.50	O'Keefe
3	Dumbarton	2	1.00	Blair
4	Spartans	2	1.00	Dishington
5	Stranraer	2	1.00	Dolan
6	Clyde	1	0.50	Rennie
7	East Fife	1	0.50	Page
8	Elgin	0	0.00
9	Forfar	0	0.00
10	Stenhousemuir	0	0.00

Hibernian Under-21s

All competitions

Scottish Challenge Cup

Last Game: Hibernian U21s 1-1 Formartine (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Bonnyrigg Rose	3	1.50	Barrett
2	Peterhead	3	1.50	O'Keefe
3	Dumbarton	2	1.00	Blair
4	Spartans	2	1.00	Dishington
5	Stranraer	2	1.00	Dolan
6	Clyde	1	0.50	Rennie
7	East Fife	1	0.50	Page
8	Elgin	0	0.00
9	Forfar	0	0.00
10	Stenhousemuir	0	0.00

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brechin City win with a probability of 79.12%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Hibernian Under-21s had a probability of 8.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brechin City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.63%), while for a Hibernian Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Brechin City	Draw	Hibernian Under-21s
79.12% ( -0.03)	12.71% ( 0.04)	8.17% ( -0)

Both teams to score 55.59% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.69% (

-0.22)

26.31% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.39% (

-0.29)

46.62% (

0.29)

Brechin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.78% (

-0.05)

5.22% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.37% (

-0.15)

20.63% (

0.15)

Hibernian Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.66% (

-0.19)

41.34% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.14% (

-0.17)

77.86% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Brechin City 79.12%

Hibernian Under-21s 8.17%

Draw 12.71%

Brechin City	Draw	Hibernian Under-21s
2-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 5.53% Total : 79.12%	1-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 12.71%	1-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 8.17%