Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round

Aug 1, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Glebe Park

Brechin
2 - 2
Hearts U21s

Macleod (22'), McGrath (36')
Loudon (35')

FT
(aet)

Kirk (76' pen.), Friel (80')
Drysdale (35'), Friel (45+1')
Rathie (34')

Brechin win 5-3 on penalties

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Brechin City and Hearts Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brechin City

All competitions

Last Game: Clyde 1-2 Brechin
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Bonnyrigg Rose	0	nan
2	Clyde	0	nan
3	Dumbarton	0	nan
4	East Fife	0	nan
5	Elgin	0	nan
6	Forfar	0	nan
7	Peterhead	0	nan
8	Spartans	0	nan
9	Stenhousemuir	0	nan
10	Stranraer	0	nan

Hearts Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Hearts U21s 2-3 Buckie Thistle
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Bonnyrigg Rose	0	nan
2	Clyde	0	nan
3	Dumbarton	0	nan
4	East Fife	0	nan
5	Elgin	0	nan
6	Forfar	0	nan
7	Peterhead	0	nan
8	Spartans	0	nan
9	Stenhousemuir	0	nan
10	Stranraer	0	nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brechin City win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Hearts Under-21s had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brechin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.71%) and 3-1 (5.64%). The likeliest Hearts Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%).

Result
Brechin City	Draw	Hearts Under-21s
45.96% ( 2.99)	21.9% ( 0.09)	32.14% ( -3.07)

Both teams to score 68.08% (

-1.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.31% (

-1.55)

31.69% (

1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.8% (

-1.85)

53.2% (

1.85)

Brechin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.49% (

0.45)

14.51% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.48% (

0.86)

42.52% (

-0.85)

Hearts Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.63% (

-2.25)

20.37% (

2.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.22% (

-3.7)

52.78% (

3.71)

Score Analysis

Brechin City 45.96%

Hearts Under-21s 32.14%

Draw 21.9%

Brechin City	Draw	Hearts Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.41) 1-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.61) 3-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.44) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.24) 4-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.53% Total : 45.96%	1-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.9%	1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.45) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.37) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.3) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.26) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.02% Total : 32.14%