Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 83.46%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 5.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 4-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.98%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.