Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
4 - 0
Pontypridd

Brobbel (32'), Clark (38', 74'), Williams (45+4')
Young (43')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Wright (40'), Hutson (73')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-3 New Saints
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Pontypridd Town AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-1 Newtown
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 83.46%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 5.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 4-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.98%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawPontypridd Town AFC
83.46% (0.21499999999999 0.21)10.8% (-0.097 -0.1)5.74% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 49.54% (-0.381 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.34% (-0.053000000000011 -0.05)26.65% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.95% (-0.067 -0.07)47.05% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.41% (0.025999999999996 0.03)4.58% (-0.027 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.28% (0.076999999999998 0.08)18.72% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.92% (-0.41500000000001 -0.42)48.08% (0.413 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.71% (-0.305 -0.31)83.29% (0.304 0.3)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 83.46%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 5.74%
    Draw 10.8%
The New SaintsDrawPontypridd Town AFC
3-0 @ 10.76% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.47% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 8.29% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.88% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.8% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 6.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-0 @ 5.11% (0.061 0.06)
5-1 @ 3.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.044 -0.04)
6-0 @ 2.63% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.92% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 1.37% (-0.015 -0.01)
7-0 @ 1.16% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 83.46%
1-1 @ 4.98% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 2.81% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-0 @ 2.2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 10.8%
1-2 @ 1.82% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-1 @ 1.61% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 5.74%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Pontypridd
0-1
New Saints

Green (25'), Shepherd (27'), Wright (45+3'), Rees (45+4'), Davies (90+9')
Williams (79')
Smith (33'), Davies (90'), Roberts (90+3')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
New Saints
2-0
Pontypridd
Redmond (38'), McManus (41')
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Pontypridd
0-2
New Saints

Williams (28'), (53'), Ahmun (65'), (70')
McManus (29' pen.), Brobbel (69')
Routledge (31')