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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
0 - 1
Aberystwyth


Peate (56'), Roberts (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Owen (30')
Lewis (33'), Darlington (38'), Davies (82'), Walsh (85'), Owen (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 3-1 Bala Town
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-2 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, September 22 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 16.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawAberystwyth Town
61.66% (-2.455 -2.46)21.48% (1.092 1.09)16.86% (1.36 1.36)
Both teams to score 50.8% (-0.55399999999999 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.96% (-2.277 -2.28)46.04% (2.272 2.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65% (-2.194 -2.19)68.34% (2.188 2.19)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.6% (-1.464 -1.46)14.4% (1.459 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.69% (-2.907 -2.91)42.3% (2.901 2.9)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.35% (0.36 0.36)40.65% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.76% (0.322 0.32)77.24% (-0.327 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 61.66%
    Aberystwyth Town 16.86%
    Draw 21.48%
Bala TownDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.49 0.49)
2-0 @ 10.99% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.1% (-0.462 -0.46)
3-1 @ 6.39% (-0.348 -0.35)
4-0 @ 3.44% (-0.426 -0.43)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.349 -0.35)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.142 -0.14)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.248 -0.25)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.209 -0.21)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 61.66%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.537 0.54)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.546 0.55)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 21.48%
0-1 @ 5.27% (0.538 0.54)
1-2 @ 4.6% (0.286 0.29)
0-2 @ 2.37% (0.264 0.26)
1-3 @ 1.38% (0.098 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 16.86%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Bala Town
3-0
Aberystwyth
Venables (20'), Peate (34'), Evans (52' og.)
Sep 2, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Aberystwyth
1-4
Bala Town
Evans (85' pen.)
Rimmer (75'), Bradford (88'), Evans (90+2')
Smith (22'), Peate (57'), Rimmer (68' og.), Edwards (76' pen.)
Ramsey (71'), Peate (84')
Venables (2')
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 22
Bala Town
2-2
Aberystwyth
Evans (59'), Peate (69')
Smith (65'), Kay (85'), Shannon (90')
Jones (86'), Veale (90+4')
Thorn (72')
Aug 31, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
0-1
Bala Town

Veale (57'), Phillips (67')
Darlington (27' og.)
Smith (34')
Dec 9, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Aberystwyth
1-2
Bala Town
Davies (10')
Jones (16'), Williams (87')
Roberts (14' pen.), Nalatche Mendes (30')
Stephens (79'), Morris (90')