Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round

Sep 9, 2023 at 5.15pm UK

Maes Tegid

Bala Town
0 - 3
Queen's Park

Peate (59')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Turner (20'), Hepburn (44'), Paton (90+5')
Spong (16'), Hepburn (88'), Longridge (89')

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Bala Town and Queen's Park.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions

Last Game: Bala Town 2-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Queen's Park

All competitions

Last Game: Raith Rovers 3-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 22.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 1-2 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Bala Town	Draw	Queen's Park
55.45% ( 0.18)	22.33% ( -0.06)	22.22% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 57.26% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.04% (

0.11)

41.97% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.63% (

0.11)

64.37% (

-0.11)

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.98% (

0.1)

15.02% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.5% (

0.18)

43.51% (

-0.18)

Queen's Park Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.39% (

-0.05)

32.62% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.84% (

-0.05)

69.16% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Bala Town 55.45%

Queen's Park 22.22%

Draw 22.32%

Bala Town	Draw	Queen's Park
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.45%	1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.32%	1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 22.22%