Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 17.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.