Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.