Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11

Oct 7, 2023 at 5.15pm UK

Ynysangharad Park

Pontypridd
2 - 0
Haverfordwest

Hunt (10'), Karadogan (73')
Lewis (67'), Knott (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Owen (29')
Owen (67')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pontypridd Town AFC

All competitions

Last Game: New Saints 4-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Haverfordwest County

All competitions

Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-0 Aberystwyth
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFC	Draw	Haverfordwest County
37.71% ( -0.12)	27.97% ( 0.03)	34.32% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 47.77% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.76% (

-0.1)

58.23% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.13% (

-0.08)

78.87% (

0.08)

Pontypridd Town AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.2% (

-0.12)

29.8% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.12% (

-0.15)

65.88% (

0.15)

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.06% (

0.01)

31.94% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.6% (

0.01)

68.39% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Pontypridd Town AFC 37.7%

Haverfordwest County 34.31%

Draw 27.97%

Pontypridd Town AFC	Draw	Haverfordwest County
1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 37.7%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.97%	0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.31%