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Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
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Arbroath
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 12
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Partick Thistle

Arbroath
1 - 3
Partick

Hylton (87')
Bird (38'), Little (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fitzpatrick (23', 61'), Graham (74')
Stanway (85')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Partick Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dundee Utd 6-0 Arbroath
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Partick Thistle

All competitions
Last Game: Partick 2-2 Ayr
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.

Result
ArbroathDrawPartick Thistle
36.06% (-0.542 -0.54)24.81% (0.138 0.14)39.13% (0.4 0.4)
Both teams to score 58.39% (-0.558 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.18% (-0.699 -0.7)44.82% (0.695 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82% (-0.677 -0.68)67.18% (0.673 0.67)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6% (-0.617 -0.62)24.39% (0.614 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.19% (-0.877 -0.88)58.81% (0.873 0.87)
Partick Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.22% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)22.77% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.53% (-0.157 -0.16)56.47% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 36.06%
    Partick Thistle 39.13%
    Draw 24.8%
ArbroathDrawPartick Thistle
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 36.06%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.8%
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 8.22% (0.219 0.22)
0-2 @ 6.08% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.57%
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 39.13%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Partick
0-3
Arbroath

Mackenzie (38'), Muirhead (62'), Lawless (74')
Hylton (12', 80'), O'Brien (39')
Steele (59'), O'Brien (75')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Partick
2-0
Arbroath
Turner (40', 61')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Arbroath
0-0
Partick
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Partick
3-0
Arbroath
Graham (16'), Turner (79'), Milne (84')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Arbroath
0-2
Partick

Fosu (22'), Tait (44'), Allan (50'), Shanks (72')
Allan (50')
Dowds (86'), McKinnon (90+1')
Milne (25'), Docherty (90+2')
rhs 2.0


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