Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round

Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK

Palmerston Park

QotS
1 - 2
Arbroath

Doherty (12')
McKay (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bird (54'), McKenna (90')
McKenna (48'), Dunnwald (71')

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Queen of the South and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen of the South

All competitions

Scottish Challenge Cup

Last Game: QotS 0-1 Stirling
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arbroath

All competitions

Scottish Challenge Cup

Last Game: Arbroath 2-3 Inverness
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Queen of the South	Draw	Arbroath
44.33% ( 0.02)	24.78% ( -0)	30.89% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 56.88% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.9% (

-0)

46.1% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.6% (

-0)

68.4% (

0.01)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.14% (

0.01)

20.86% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.45% (

0.01)

53.55% (

-0.01)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.87% (

-0.01)

28.13% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.19% (

-0.02)

63.81% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Queen of the South 44.33%

Arbroath 30.89%

Draw 24.78%

Queen of the South	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.68% Total : 44.33%	1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.78%	0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.89%