Scottish League One | Gameweek 8

Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

New Central Park

Kelty Hearts
3 - 1
QotS

Moore (43' pen.), Lyon (48'), Tidser (90+4')
Lyon (67'), Corbett (80'), Johnston (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hutchinson (40')
McClelland (42'), Hutchinson (45+1')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Queen of the South.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-5 Falkirk
Saturday, September 23 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Queen of the South

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: QotS 1-2 Hamilton
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Kelty Hearts	Draw	Queen of the South
36.2% ( 0.04)	25.67% ( -0.01)	38.14% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 55.38% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.3% (

0.06)

48.71% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.19% (

0.05)

70.82% (

-0.05)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.88% (

0.06)

26.12% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.81% (

0.07)

61.19% (

-0.07)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.96% (

0.01)

25.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.29% (

0.02)

59.72% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Kelty Hearts 36.2%

Queen of the South 38.14%

Draw 25.66%

Kelty Hearts	Draw	Queen of the South
1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 36.2%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 38.14%