Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 33.58% ( | 25.98% ( | 40.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.57% ( | 50.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.64% ( | 72.36% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( | 28.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% ( | 64.3% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( | 24.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.89% ( | 59.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 4-1 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.58% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0-2 @ 6.9% ( 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.44% |