Elgin City
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Borough Briggs
Queen of the South

Elgin
0 - 2
QotS

FT(HT: 0-1)
McKechnie (17'), McKay (89')
Cochrane (33'), McClelland (66')
McClelland (71')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Elgin City and Queen of the South.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elgin City

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: East Fife 3-1 Elgin
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Queen of the South

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: QotS 3-3 Motherwell
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.

Result
Elgin CityDrawQueen of the South
23.39% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)22.9% (-0.012 -0.01)53.7% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.76% (0.019000000000005 0.02)43.24% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.36% (0.021000000000001 0.02)65.63% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)32.28% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)68.79% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.93% (0.016000000000005 0.02)16.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.56% (0.032000000000004 0.03)45.43% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Elgin City 23.39%
    Queen of the South 53.7%
    Draw 22.9%
Elgin CityDrawQueen of the South
2-1 @ 6.06% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.31% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.28% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 23.39%
1-1 @ 10.72%
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 9.8% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 5.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.73% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 53.7%

Head to Head
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Group Stage
Elgin
0-2
QotS

Mailer (10'), Cameron (45+2'), Lawrence (78')
McKechnie (50'), Paton (54')
Murray (9'), McKay (35')
Aug 2, 2014 3pm
First Round
QotS
5-0
Elgin
Russell (6', 61', 86'), Lyle (35', 90')
rhs 2.0


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