Elgin City
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Borough Briggs
Motherwell logo

Elgin
0 - 2
Motherwell

FT(HT: 0-1)
Miller (25'), Obika (76')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Elgin City and Motherwell.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elgin City

All competitions
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 3-0 Elgin
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Motherwell

All competitions
Last Game: Motherwell 3-2 Dundee Utd
Sunday, May 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 12.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Elgin City win it was 2-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Motherwell in this match.

Result
Elgin CityDrawMotherwell
12.92% (-1.067 -1.07)18.02% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)69.06% (1.148 1.15)
Both teams to score 52.65% (-2.924 -2.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.42% (-2.248 -2.25)38.59% (2.248 2.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.12% (-2.417 -2.42)60.88% (2.417 2.42)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.58% (-3.027 -3.03)41.42% (3.027 3.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.07% (-2.779 -2.78)77.93% (2.78 2.78)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.88% (-0.32799999999999 -0.33)10.12% (0.328 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.69% (-0.75699999999999 -0.76)33.31% (0.757 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Elgin City 12.92%
    Motherwell 69.05%
    Draw 18.02%
Elgin CityDrawMotherwell
2-1 @ 3.73% (-0.273 -0.27)
1-0 @ 3.7% (0.096 0.1)
2-0 @ 1.63% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-1 @ 1.1% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 12.92%
1-1 @ 8.47% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.378 -0.38)
0-0 @ 4.19% (0.432 0.43)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.02%
0-2 @ 10.99% (0.84 0.84)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.866 0.87)
0-3 @ 8.4% (0.536 0.54)
1-3 @ 7.4% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-4 @ 4.81% (0.242 0.24)
1-4 @ 4.24% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-5 @ 2.2% (0.081 0.08)
1-5 @ 1.94% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.87% (-0.225 -0.23)
Other @ 4.66%
Total : 69.05%