Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 12.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Elgin City win it was 2-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Motherwell in this match.