Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Queen of the South	Draw	Motherwell
32.94% ( -5.65)	25.61% ( 0.46)	41.44% ( 5.19)

Both teams to score 54.91% (

-2.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.97% (

-2.63)

49.03% (

2.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.89% (

-2.43)

71.11% (

2.42)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.75% (

-4.49)

28.25% (

4.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.04% (

-6.05)

63.95% (

6.05)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.53% (

1.54)

23.47% (

-1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.51% (

2.19)

57.49% (

-2.2)

Score Analysis

Queen of the South 32.94%

Motherwell 41.44%

Draw 25.61%

Queen of the South	Draw	Motherwell
1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.83) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.84) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.84) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.48) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.71) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.44) Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.94%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.69) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 9.61% ( 1.37) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.6) 0-2 @ 6.96% ( 1.26) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.47) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.73) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.23) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.31) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.44%