Scottish League One | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

Palmerston Park

QotS
3 - 4
Alloa

McKechnie (2'), Reilly (37' pen., 84' pen.)
McKechnie (45+3'), Mimnaugh (48'), Ambrose (67')

FT(HT: 2-4)

McKay (6'), Rodden (15', 44'), Sammon (29')
Virtanen (36'), Devine (76')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Queen of the South and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen of the South

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Queen's Park 1-2 QotS
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Alloa Athletic

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Ayr 6-0 Alloa
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 60.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Queen of the South	Draw	Alloa Athletic
60.69% ( -0.77)	21.53% ( 0.12)	17.77% ( 0.64)

Both teams to score 52.48% (

0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.26% (

0.56)

44.74% (

-0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.9% (

0.54)

67.1% (

-0.54)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.72% (

-0.06)

14.28% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.93% (

-0.11)

42.07% (

0.1)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.22% (

1.1)

38.77% (

-1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.49% (

1.03)

75.51% (

-1.03)

Score Analysis

Queen of the South 60.68%

Alloa Athletic 17.77%

Draw 21.53%

Queen of the South	Draw	Alloa Athletic
1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 6.45% 4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 60.68%	1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.53%	0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.19% Total : 17.77%