Partick Thistle
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Energy Check Stadium
Queen of the South

Partick
2 - 3
QotS

Lawless (11' pen., 11' pen.), Stanway (48')
McMillan (37')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Mimnaugh (7'), McGuffie (7'), Reilly (24'), Ambrose (87')
Ambrose (43'), Cochrane (51')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Partick Thistle and Queen of the South.

Form, Standings, Stats

Partick Thistle

All competitions
Last Game: Morton 1-4 Partick
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Queen of the South

All competitions
Last Game: QotS 2-3 Montrose
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 1-2 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Partick ThistleDrawQueen of the South
55.52% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)22.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.11% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.92% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.66% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)42.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)64.74% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Partick Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.87% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)15.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.29% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)43.71% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)32.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.49% (0.016000000000002 0.02)69.51% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Partick Thistle 55.52%
    Queen of the South 22.11%
    Draw 22.37%
Partick ThistleDrawQueen of the South
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 55.52%
1-1 @ 10.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 5.81% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.54% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 22.11%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
QotS
0-1
Partick

O'Connor (87')
Tiffoney (62')
Tiffoney (41'), Graham (63'), Bannigan (89'), Docherty (90+3')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Partick
1-0
QotS
Holt (82' pen.)
Docherty (84')

O'Connor (73'), Debayo (81')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
QotS
0-0
Partick
Paton (20')
Smith (72'), Holt (87')
Oct 8, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
QotS
2-0
Partick
Connelly (69'), Roy (90+2')
Paton (79'), Nditi (86')

Holt (88')
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Partick
3-2
QotS
Graham (16', 30'), Tiffoney (85')
Docherty (45+1'), Graham (90+1')
Gibson (10'), Paton (74')
Roy (40')
> Match Report