Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
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Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
New Central Park
Annan Athletic

Kelty Hearts
1 - 1
Annan

Johnston (62')
O'Donnell (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smith (78')
Docherty (29'), Lussint (31')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Annan Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Stirling 1-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Annan Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Annan 3-2 Edinburgh
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Kelty HeartsDrawAnnan Athletic
42.57% (0.036999999999999 0.04)26.43% (0.013999999999999 0.01)31% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.58% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.99% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)53.01% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (-0.058 -0.06)74.6% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)24.67% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)59.19% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Annan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)31.54% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)67.93% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Kelty Hearts 42.57%
    Annan Athletic 31%
    Draw 26.42%
Kelty HeartsDrawAnnan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 7.62% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.57%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Annan
1-2
Kelty Hearts
Goss (63' pen.)
Low (58' pen.), Barjonas (90+3')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Annan
1-2
Kelty Hearts
Reilly (22' og.)
Barnes (36')
Higginbotham (30'), Agyeman (45+1')
Cameron (79')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Kelty Hearts
3-1
Annan
Moxon (5' og.), Barjonas (16'), Cardle (72')
Philp (58'), Austin (90+2')
McCartney (78')
Moxon (37'), Douglas (52'), Lowdon (84'), Swinglehurst (90')
Dec 26, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 18
Annan
5-1
Kelty Hearts
Moxon (44'), Garrity (46'), Wallace (76', 87' pen., 90+1')
Austin (36')
Forster (45')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Kelty Hearts
2-1
Annan
Barjonas (37'), Higginbotham (74')
Barjonas (30')
Wallace (43')