Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Annan Athletic |
42.57% ( 0.04) | 26.43% ( 0.01) | 31% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 51.58% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.99% ( -0.07) | 53.01% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.4% ( -0.06) | 74.6% ( 0.06) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.34% ( -0.01) | 24.67% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.81% ( -0.02) | 59.19% ( 0.02) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.46% ( -0.07) | 31.54% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.07% ( -0.08) | 67.93% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Annan Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.57% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |