Kelty Hearts
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
New Central Park
Stranraer

Kelty Hearts
2 - 0
Stranraer

Daramola (5'), Johnston (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ross (50'), Williamson (67')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Kelty Hearts and Stranraer.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Edinburgh 3-5 Kelty Hearts
Wednesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Stranraer

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Stranraer 2-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.

Result
Kelty HeartsDrawStranraer
45.72% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)25.1% (0.012 0.01)29.18% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.85% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)48.31% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)70.45% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)21.16% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.98% (-0.067 -0.07)54.01% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Stranraer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.57% (0.016000000000005 0.02)30.42% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.37% (0.019999999999996 0.02)66.63% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kelty Hearts 45.72%
    Stranraer 29.18%
    Draw 25.09%
Kelty HeartsDrawStranraer
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.72%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.66% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.18%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Stranraer
0-3
Kelty Hearts

Gallagher (32')
McNab (62'), Reilly (64'), Higginbotham (81')
Higginbotham (16'), Tidser (26')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Kelty Hearts
3-2
Stranraer
O'Ware (21'), Barjonas (22'), Austin (89')
Hill (58')
Muir (53'), Hilton (56')
Ross (20')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Stranraer
0-4
Kelty Hearts

Muir (34'), Burns (62'), Ross (70')
Burns (10' og.), Forster (42'), Austin (45+2', 54')
Tidser (29'), Forster (49'), Barron (70')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Kelty Hearts
1-0
Stranraer
Austin (8')
Black (73'), McNab (90+4')

Yates (49')