Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 45%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.