Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 76.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 9.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.41%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-2 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Peterhead |
76.64% ( 0.01) | 14.11% ( -0) | 9.24% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.47% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.13% ( -0.01) | 29.87% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.97% ( -0.01) | 51.03% ( 0.01) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.61% ( -0) | 6.38% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.04% ( -0) | 23.95% ( 0) |
Peterhead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.19% ( -0.02) | 41.81% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.73% ( -0.02) | 78.27% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Peterhead |
2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.27% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.81% 3-1 @ 8.08% 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.37% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.51% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.06% 4-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.4% 5-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 4.26% Total : 76.64% | 1-1 @ 6.41% 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.11% | 1-2 @ 2.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 9.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |