Annan Athletic
Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Galabank
Stranraer

Annan
3 - 1
Stranraer

Kilsby (44'), Docherty (51'), Smith (55')
Gibson (38')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McDonald (38')
Williamson (40'), Forrest (81')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Annan Athletic and Stranraer.

Form, Standings, Stats

Annan Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Annan 1-3 Montrose
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Stranraer

All competitions
Last Game: Stranraer 1-1 East Fife
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.

Result
Annan AthleticDrawStranraer
51.85% (0.088000000000001 0.09)22.92% (-0.266 -0.27)25.23% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 58.88% (1.101 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.51% (1.373 1.37)41.49% (-1.375 -1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.11% (1.377 1.38)63.89% (-1.379 -1.38)
Annan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (0.53 0.53)16.09% (-0.531 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.52% (0.961 0.96)45.48% (-0.963 -0.96)
Stranraer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (0.874 0.87)29.83% (-0.874 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (1.045 1.05)65.91% (-1.046 -1.05)
Score Analysis
    Annan Athletic 51.85%
    Stranraer 25.23%
    Draw 22.92%
Annan AthleticDrawStranraer
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.389 -0.39)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-1 @ 5.9% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.143 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.092 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.093 0.09)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 51.85%
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.132 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.304 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 6.42% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.8% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.074 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 25.23%

Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Annan
0-0
Stranraer
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Stranraer
1-1
Annan
Hawkshaw (58')
Wallace (7')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Annan
1-1
Stranraer
Galloway (2')
Hilton (65')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Stranraer
1-0
Annan
Woods (26' pen.)
Malcolm (43'), Forrest (59'), McLean (87')

Goss (42')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Annan
4-1
Stranraer
Wallace (22'), Barnes (44'), Garrity (45'), Clark (89')
Douglas (13')
Hawkshaw (1')
Ellis (21'), Robertson (52'), Hilton (54')
rhs 2.0


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