Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-0 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Falkirk |
| 18.71% ( | 22.62% ( | 58.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.08% ( | 47.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.9% ( | 70.1% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.43% ( | 39.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.74% ( | 76.26% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84% ( | 16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.68% ( | 45.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 5.87% ( 2-1 @ 4.99% ( 2-0 @ 2.72% ( 3-1 @ 1.54% ( 3-2 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.71% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 2-2 @ 4.57% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0-2 @ 10.63% ( 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0-3 @ 6.5% ( 1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0-4 @ 2.98% ( 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 1-4 @ 2.76% ( 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0-5 @ 1.09% ( 1-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.17% Total : 58.67% |