Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 23, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
New Central Park
Falkirk

Kelty Hearts
1 - 5
Falkirk

O'Donnell (45+1')
O'Ware (19'), Johnston (84')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Henderson (2'), Morrison (19' pen., 33'), Maciver (73'), Nesbitt (80')
Henderson (45'), Spencer (84')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Falkirk 1-0 QotS
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-0 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
Kelty HeartsDrawFalkirk
18.71% (0.13 0.13)22.62% (0.012999999999998 0.01)58.68% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Both teams to score 50.76% (0.181 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.08% (0.129 0.13)47.92% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.9% (0.117 0.12)70.1% (-0.116 -0.12)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.43% (0.22 0.22)39.58% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.74% (0.202 0.2)76.26% (-0.202 -0.2)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)16% (0.006000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.68% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)45.33% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kelty Hearts 18.71%
    Falkirk 58.67%
    Draw 22.61%
Kelty HeartsDrawFalkirk
1-0 @ 5.87% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-1 @ 4.99% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.72% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.54% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.41% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 18.71%
1-1 @ 10.75%
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 11.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 10.63% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.86% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 6.5% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 2.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.09% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 58.67%

Head to Head
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Kelty Hearts
1-2
Falkirk
Allan (79'), Burrell (90')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Falkirk
2-3
Kelty Hearts
Alegria (56'), Burrell (71')
Agyeman (6', 8'), Lyon (66')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Kelty Hearts
2-0
Falkirk
Cardle (19'), McGill (26')
Barjonas (35'), Cardle (51'), Martin (90+1')

Donaldson (42')