Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 90.65%. A draw had a probability of 6.8% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 2.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.36%) and 2-0 (11.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.25%), while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 0-1 (0.93%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.