Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.