Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
2 - 1
Colwyn Bay

Davies (59', 60'), Bratley (70')
Disney (20')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Akpan (64')
Holmes (59'), Downes (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Colwyn Bay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-3 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-4 Newtown
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawColwyn Bay
59.6%22.94% (0.0019999999999989 0)17.46% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 47.54% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)51.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)72.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.22% (0.0020000000000095 0)16.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.27% (0.00099999999999767 0)46.74% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.12% (0.0040000000000049 0)42.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)79.19% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 59.59%
    Colwyn Bay 17.46%
    Draw 22.94%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawColwyn Bay
1-0 @ 12.84%
2-0 @ 11.46%
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 6.82%
3-1 @ 5.78%
4-0 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 1.09%
5-0 @ 1.09%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 59.59%
1-1 @ 10.87%
0-0 @ 7.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 6.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 4.6%
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 17.46%