Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17

Nov 28, 2023 at 8pm UK

Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 3
New Saints

Cadwallader (3')
Hogan (30'), Bradford (45+2'), Owen (45+2'), H (56'), Taylor (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Davies (45+7'), Young (57' pen.), Darlington (76' og.)
Young (70')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-3 Bala Town
Friday, November 17 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

The New Saints

All competitions

Welsh Premier League

Last Game: New Saints 4-1 Arbroath
Saturday, November 18 at 2.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 87.81%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 3.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.06%) and 0-4 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.12%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth Town	Draw	The New Saints
3.51% ( -0.19)	8.67% ( -0.37)	87.81% ( 0.55)

Both teams to score 40.41% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.27% (

0.96)

27.72% (

-0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.6% (

1.19)

48.4% (

-1.19)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.12% (

-0.1)

57.87% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.47% (

-0.06)

89.53% (

0.06)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.93% (

0.25)

4.07% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.9% (

0.78)

17.09% (

-0.79)

Score Analysis

Aberystwyth Town 3.51%

The New Saints 87.8%

Draw 8.67%

Aberystwyth Town	Draw	The New Saints
1-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.1% Total : 3.51%	1-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.39% Total : 8.67%	0-3 @ 12.88% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 12.06% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 10.31% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 7.05% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 6.6% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 5.64% ( 0.08) 1-5 @ 3.61% ( 0.12) 0-6 @ 3.53% ( 0.19) 1-6 @ 1.93% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 0-7 @ 1.61% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.99% Total : 87.8%