Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15

Nov 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Jenner Park

Barry
0 - 1
Aberystwyth

Hulbert (26'), Veale (64'), Blythe (69'), Cotterill (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cadwallader (90+1')
Bradford (36')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barry Town United

All competitions

Last Game: Colwyn Bay 0-1 Barry
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-2 Aberystwyth
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 54.74%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 3-1 (6.63%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Barry Town United	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
54.74% ( 0.66)	20.92% ( -0.11)	24.33% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 65.14% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.17% (

-0.04)

32.83% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.47% (

-0.04)

54.53% (

0.04)

Barry Town United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.83% (

0.18)

12.17% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.2% (

0.37)

37.8% (

-0.37)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.17% (

-0.42)

25.83% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.21% (

-0.57)

60.79% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Barry Town United 54.74%

Aberystwyth Town 24.33%

Draw 20.92%

Barry Town United	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 54.74%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.92%	1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.31% Total : 24.33%