Welsh Premier League Gameweek 14
Pen-y-Bont
Oct 27, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT The KYMCO Stadium
Aberystwyth
  • Ashley Evans 27' redcard
  • Henry Jones 58' yellowcard
  • goal Owen Taylor 14'
  • goal Jack Thorn 28'
  • yellowcard John Owen 41'
  • yellowcard Jack Thorn 71'
  • yellowcard H 90'+3'

Pen-y-Bont vs Aberystwyth Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
Haverfordwest 3 - 2 Pen-y-Bont
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Chris Venables

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
Caernarfon 3 - 0 Aberystwyth
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Iwan Lewis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 64.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 15.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result

Pen-y-Bont 64.6% ▲ (+0.44)
Draw 20.34% ▼ (-0.10)
Aberystwyth Town 15.06% ▼ (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.48% ▼ (-0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.6% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 44.4% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 33.23% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 66.77% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 4.5 16.96% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 83.04% ▲ (+0.18)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 87.01% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 12.99% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 60.49% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 39.51% ▼ (-0.12)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5 58.02% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 0.5 41.98% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 1.5 21.58% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 1.5 78.42% ▲ (+0.53)

Score analysis

Pen-y-Bont 64.59%
Draw 20.34%
Aberystwyth Town 15.06%
Pen-y-Bont
2-0 @ 11.35% ▲ (+0.17)
1-0 @ 11.13% ▲ (+0.15)
2-1 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.73% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 64.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.66% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 20.34%
Aberystwyth Town
0-1 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 15.06%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Aberystwyth
Sep 22, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Park Avenue Ground
Pen-y-Bont
  • Harry Owen 47' yellowcard
  • Jack Thorn 90'+3' goal
  • goal Ryan Reynolds 48'
  • goal Ryan Reynolds 59'
  • yellowcard Gabe Kircough 83'
  • yellowcard Ashley Evans 90'+2'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 18
Aberystwyth
Jan 10, 2023 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Park Avenue Ground
Pen-y-Bont
  • goal Keyon Reffell 24'
  • goal Kostya Georgievsky 38'
  • goal Jack Rimmer 64' (OG)
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Pen-y-Bont
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT The KYMCO Stadium
Aberystwyth
  • Billy Borge 26' goal
  • Nathan Wood 39' goal
  • Kane Owen 83' goal
  • goal Niall Flint 34'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 20
Pen-y-Bont
Jan 21, 2022 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Aberystwyth
  • Ben Ahmun 8' goal
  • Ben Ahmun 15' goal
  • Ben Ahmun 20' goal
  • Ashley Evans 60' yellowcard
  • Nathan Wood 77' goal
  • yellowcard John Owen 52'
  • redcard Alex Darlington 60'
  • yellowcard Jack Rimmer 90'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
Oct 22, 2021 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Pen-y-Bont
  • Owain Jones 29' yellowcard
  • Lee Jenkins 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal James Waite 16'
  • goal Keane Watts 34'
  • goal James Waite 49'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jefferies 90'+2'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 11
Aberystwyth
Mar 27, 2021 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Pen-y-Bont
  • Harry Franklin 33' goal
  • Mike Williams 49' yellowcard
  • John Owen 72' yellowcard
  • Gwion Owen 77' yellowcard
  • Chris Roberts 80' yellowcard
  • Jack Thorn 82' yellowcard
  • Gwion Owen 90'+4' redcard
  • goal Mattie Davies 59'
  • yellowcard Sam Snaith 83'

Form Data

Haverfordwest 3 - 2 Pen-y-Bont
Pen-y-Bont 1 - 4 New Saints
Connah's Quay 4 - 2 Pen-y-Bont
Pen-y-Bont 1 - 0 Barry
Aberystwyth 1 - 2 Pen-y-Bont
Pen-y-Bont 3 - 2 Caernarfon
Caernarfon 3 - 0 Aberystwyth
Aberystwyth 1 - 1 Connah's Quay
Haverfordwest 3 - 0 Aberystwyth
Bala Town 0 - 1 Aberystwyth
Aberystwyth 1 - 2 Pen-y-Bont
Colwyn Bay 3 - 1 Aberystwyth