MX23RW : Sunday, February 25 05:31:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Llanelian Road
Colwyn Bay
2 - 3
Connah's Quay
Cumming (28'), Akpan (75' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davies (37'), Franklin (52'), Wilde (78')
Edwards (13'), Nash (26'), Morris (74')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Colwyn Bay and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-2 Haverfordwest
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 53.93%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Colwyn BayDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
24.15% (-0.464 -0.46) 21.92% (0.141 0.14) 53.93% (0.32100000000001 0.32)
Both teams to score 61.19% (-1.075 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.09% (-1.172 -1.17)37.91% (1.169 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.83% (-1.263 -1.26)60.17% (1.259 1.26)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-0.999 -1)28.75% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (-1.262 -1.26)64.59% (1.26 1.26)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.87% (-0.303 -0.3)14.12% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.23% (-0.591 -0.59)41.77% (0.588 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Colwyn Bay 24.15%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 53.93%
    Draw 21.92%
Colwyn BayDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 6.18% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.06% (0.144 0.14)
2-0 @ 3.16% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 24.15%
1-1 @ 9.91% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.06% (0.224 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.92%
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.068 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.95% (0.355 0.36)
0-2 @ 7.78% (0.267 0.27)
1-3 @ 6.33% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.07% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.94% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-4 @ 3.1% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.48% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.93% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.21% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 53.93%

How you voted: Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay

Colwyn Bay
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Connah's Quay Nomads
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Connah's Quay
2-1
Colwyn Bay
Davies (60'), Bratley (70')
Disney (20')
Akpan (64')
Holmes (59'), Downes (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints330089157471
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay321065333254
3Bala TownBala Town31113123841
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU30213244-1236
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon30214452-833
6Newtown AFCNewtown30033842-433
Relegation Round
1Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest30213136-530
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont31203336-327
3Barry Town UnitedBarry30213047-1725
4Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd32102132-1120
5Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth31112048-2819
6Colwyn Bay31022955-2617
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813

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