Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.