Welsh Premier League Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT Ynysangharad Park
  • Ethan Vaughan 72' yellowcard
  • Curtis Hutson 84' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Davies 4'
  • goal Callum Morris 28'
  • yellowcard Ryan Harrington 32'
  • goal Ben Nash 33'
  • yellowcard John Disney 77'

Pontypridd United vs Connah's Quay Nomads - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pontypridd United

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
Barry 2 - 0 Pontypridd
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Ben Ahmun

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Oct 18, 2023 7.45pm
Connah's Quay 1 - 1 Bala Town
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Jordan Davies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result

Pontypridd United 28.09% (+0.08)
Draw 25.56% (+0.01)
Connah's Quay Nomads 46.35% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.68% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.17% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 50.83% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 27.28% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 72.71% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 12.84% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.16% (-0.01)

Pontypridd United Goals

Over 0.5 67.46% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 32.53% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 30.93% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 69.07% (-0.07)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 78.08% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 21.92% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 44.81% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 55.19% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Pontypridd United 28.09%
Draw 25.55%
Connah's Quay Nomads 46.35%
Pontypridd United
1-0 @ 8.01% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.82% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.5% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 28.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 25.55%
Connah's Quay Nomads
0-1 @ 10.82% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.21% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.16% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 46.35%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 2.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 4
FT Ynysangharad Park
  • goal John Disney 15'
  • goal Michael Wilde 20'
  • goal Danny Holmes 28'
  • goal Mike Hayes 36'
  • goal Callum Morris 74'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 24, 2022 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Michael Wilde 25' goal