MX23RW : Tuesday, April 16 08:15:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Feb 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 8
New Saints

Bradley (7')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Young (2', 34', 49'), Cieslewicz (30', 31'), Holden (55', 90'), Hudson (85')
Young (73')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-1 New Saints
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 84.67%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 5.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 0-4 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.54%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-8 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
5.31% (-1.1259 -1.13) 10.01% (-1.138 -1.14) 84.67% (2.264 2.26)
Both teams to score 50.52% (-2.327 -2.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.76% (0.871 0.87)24.24% (-0.873 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.08% (1.145 1.15)43.92% (-1.147 -1.15)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.62% (-2.708 -2.71)47.38% (2.708 2.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.23% (-2.103 -2.1)82.77% (2.101 2.1)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.02% (0.492 0.49)3.98% (-0.4941 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.19% (1.558 1.56)16.81% (-1.561 -1.56)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 5.31%
    The New Saints 84.67%
    Draw 10.01%
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 1.7% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-0 @ 1.41% (-0.202 -0.2)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 5.31%
1-1 @ 4.54% (-0.461 -0.46)
2-2 @ 2.73% (-0.397 -0.4)
0-0 @ 1.89% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 10.01%
0-3 @ 10.53% (0.54 0.54)
0-2 @ 9.8% (0.154 0.15)
0-4 @ 8.49% (0.728 0.73)
1-3 @ 7.87% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.452 -0.45)
1-4 @ 6.34% (0.087 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-5 @ 5.47% (0.65 0.65)
1-5 @ 4.09% (0.202 0.2)
0-6 @ 2.94% (0.444 0.44)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.305 -0.31)
2-4 @ 2.37% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-6 @ 2.2% (0.184 0.18)
2-5 @ 1.53% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-7 @ 1.35% (0.245 0.25)
1-7 @ 1.01% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 84.67%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
New Saints
2-1
Caernarfon
Williams (78'), Marriott (81')
Roberts (14'), Davies (45+1'), Davies (45+1'), Williams (82')
Lloyd (13')
Wynne (82')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Caernarfon
1-3
New Saints
Davies (6')
Clark (58'), Williams (63'), Brobbel (76')
Jan 3, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
New Saints
3-0
Caernarfon
Brobbel (16'), Wilson (42'), Dafydd (90+3')
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
New Saints
3-1
Caernarfon
McManus (2', 88'), Brobbel (42')
Dafydd (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints9900115189789
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay933370412959
3Bala TownBala Town93423629750
4Newtown AFCNewtown92254645141
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon92345068-1840
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU91263460-2639
Relegation Round
1Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest94323939043
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont95314537840
3Barry Town UnitedBarry91623653-1732
4Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth92342457-3324
5Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd93333669-3322
6Colwyn Bay92253366-3322
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!