Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for The New Saints in this match.