Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 84.72%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 5.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 4-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.64%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-2 (1.66%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.