Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.