Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 0-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.