Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
2 - 0
Barry

Hawkins (63'), Taylor-Crossdale (67')
John (55'), Abbruzzese (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Patten (47'), Press (52'), Lewis (87'), Veale (90+2')
Cotterill (21')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Barry Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-1 New Saints
Saturday, December 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 7-0 Barry
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 0-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawBarry Town United
52.01% (0.668 0.67)23.52% (-0.157 -0.16)24.47% (-0.509 -0.51)
Both teams to score 56.02% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.09% (0.224 0.22)44.91% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.73% (0.217 0.22)67.27% (-0.21499999999999 -0.21)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (0.33200000000001 0.33)17.28% (-0.33 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39% (0.58000000000001 0.58)47.61% (-0.578 -0.58)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)32.28% (0.303 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.22% (-0.339 -0.34)68.78% (0.34099999999999 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 52.01%
    Barry Town United 24.47%
    Draw 23.52%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawBarry Town United
1-0 @ 9.79% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.083 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.115 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 52.01%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 24.47%

Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Barry
2-2
Haverfordwest
Hulbert (14'), Press (45+1')
Veale (37')
Watts (90', 90+5')
Abbruzzese (45+1')
Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Haverfordwest
2-0
Barry
Davies (19', 57')
Rees (30'), Idzi (62'), Rees (66'), Davies (78')

Day (42'), Abbruzzese (88')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Barry
0-1
Haverfordwest

Cotterill (60'), Kavanagh (90+4')
Cotterill (70')
Touray Sisay (47')
Scotcher (67')
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Haverfordwest
1-1
Barry
Patten (48')
Jones (20'), Touray Sisay (45+2'), Watts (56'), Wilson (57'), Humphreys (68'), Scotcher (90')
McLaggon (69')
Kavanagh (72'), McLaggon (90+1')
Aug 31, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Barry
3-2
Haverfordwest
Green (30', 89' pen.), Hugh (66')
Cotterill (23')
Fawcett (33', 45')
Richards (89')
rhs 2.0


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