Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 86.62%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 4.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 4-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.12%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-2 (1.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.