Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 13, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
Park Hall Stadium
Newtown logo

New Saints
3 - 1
Newtown

Young (38'), Williams (60'), McManus (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oswell (47')
Hughes (54'), Hughes (54'), Jones (65')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 8-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 4-0 Newtown
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 86.62%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 4.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 4-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.12%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-2 (1.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawNewtown AFC
86.62% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)8.98% (0.275 0.27)4.39% (0.181 0.18)
Both teams to score 48.16% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.56% (-0.57899999999999 -0.58)23.43% (0.577 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.16% (-0.778 -0.78)42.84% (0.777 0.78)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.43% (-0.157 -0.16)3.57% (0.1551 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.55% (-0.52 -0.52)15.45% (0.519 0.52)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.94% (0.196 0.2)50.06% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.3% (0.133 0.13)84.7% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 86.62%
    Newtown AFC 4.39%
    Draw 8.98%
The New SaintsDrawNewtown AFC
3-0 @ 11.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.92% (0.137 0.14)
4-0 @ 9.19% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.63% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.86% (0.133 0.13)
4-1 @ 6.36% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 6.13% (-0.159 -0.16)
1-0 @ 5.95% (0.159 0.16)
5-1 @ 4.24% (-0.085 -0.09)
6-0 @ 3.4% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.032 0.03)
6-1 @ 2.36% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
7-0 @ 1.62% (-0.087 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
7-1 @ 1.12% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 86.62%
1-1 @ 4.12% (0.133 0.13)
2-2 @ 2.37% (0.059 0.06)
0-0 @ 1.79% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 8.98%
1-2 @ 1.42% (0.053 0.05)
0-1 @ 1.24% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 4.39%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Newtown
0-2
New Saints

Gabriel Robles (18'), Hughes (36'), Smith (65'), Evans (70'), Sutton (90+4')
Daniels (61'), Clark (90+3')
Hudson (2'), Williams (45+3'), Daniels (70')
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Newtown
0-5
New Saints
McManus (6', 44', 57'), Cieslewicz (68'), Dafydd (90+1')
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
New Saints
1-0
Newtown
Astles (45')
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
New Saints
4-1
Newtown
McManus (9' pen.), Davies (25'), Daniels (29'), Cieslewicz (81')
Robles (36')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
0-0
New Saints
Williams (40'), Ismail (50')
Ismail (61')