MX23RW : Monday, February 26 15:33:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown
4 - 2
Colwyn Bay
Sears (36'), Williams (56', 57'), Robles (82')
Hughes (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hill (41'), Akpan (44')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Colwyn Bay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 3-1 Pontypridd
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-3 Connah's Quay
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawColwyn Bay
57.21% (-0.747 -0.75) 22.14% (0.217 0.22) 20.65% (0.528 0.53)
Both teams to score 55.53% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.84% (-0.251 -0.25)43.15% (0.249 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.44% (-0.249 -0.25)65.55% (0.246 0.25)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.14% (-0.327 -0.33)14.86% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.81% (-0.623 -0.62)43.19% (0.621 0.62)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (0.379 0.38)34.78% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (0.4 0.4)71.51% (-0.401 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 57.21%
    Colwyn Bay 20.65%
    Draw 22.14%
Newtown AFCDrawColwyn Bay
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.85% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.31% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.97% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 57.21%
1-1 @ 10.4% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.047 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.14%
1-2 @ 5.5% (0.111 0.11)
0-1 @ 5.46% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.09 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 20.65%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Colwyn Bay
2-4
Newtown
Downes (41', 67')
Akpan (46')
Robles (2', 11'), Ismail (17'), Oswell (86')
Hughes (14'), Ismail (22'), Oswell (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints330089157471
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay321065333254
3Bala TownBala Town31113123841
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU30213244-1236
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon30214452-833
6Newtown AFCNewtown30033842-433
Relegation Round
1Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest30213136-530
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont31203336-327
3Barry Town UnitedBarry30213047-1725
4Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd32102132-1120
5Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth31112048-2819
6Colwyn Bay31022955-2617
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813

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