MX23RW : Saturday, July 27 06:04:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
4 - 2
Colwyn Bay

Sears (36'), Williams (56', 57'), Robles (82')
Hughes (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hill (41'), Akpan (44')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Colwyn Bay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 3-1 Pontypridd
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-3 Connah's Quay
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawColwyn Bay
57.21% (-0.747 -0.75) 22.14% (0.217 0.22) 20.65% (0.528 0.53)
Both teams to score 55.53% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.84% (-0.251 -0.25)43.15% (0.249 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.44% (-0.249 -0.25)65.55% (0.246 0.25)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.14% (-0.327 -0.33)14.86% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.81% (-0.623 -0.62)43.19% (0.621 0.62)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (0.379 0.38)34.78% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (0.4 0.4)71.51% (-0.401 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 57.21%
    Colwyn Bay 20.65%
    Draw 22.14%
Newtown AFCDrawColwyn Bay
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.85% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.31% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.97% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 57.21%
1-1 @ 10.4% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.047 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.14%
1-2 @ 5.5% (0.111 0.11)
0-1 @ 5.46% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.09 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 20.65%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Colwyn Bay
2-4
Newtown
Downes (41', 67')
Akpan (46')
Robles (2', 11'), Ismail (17'), Oswell (86')
Hughes (14'), Ismail (22'), Oswell (81')
rhs 2.0
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