Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Chris Craven 22'
Matt Clubb 50'
H 90'+1'

Ryan Sears 43'
Dominic Smith 45'+2'
Aaron Williams 53'
Callum Roberts 89'
George Hughes 90'+7'

Cardiff MU vs Newtown AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions

W
D
D
L
L
W

Welsh Premier League

W
D
D
L
L
W

Last game

Oct 6, 2023 7.45pm

Cardiff MU 2 - 1 Barry

Goals scored

35

Top scorer

Eliot Evans

Newtown AFC

All competitions

W
W
W
W
W
W

Welsh Premier League

W
W
W
W
W
W

Last game

Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm

Newtown 4 - 0 Caernarfon

Goals scored

49

Top scorer

Aaron Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Cardiff MU 32.21% ▲ (+0.56)

Draw 25.03% ▼ (-0.18)

Newtown AFC 42.76% ▼ (-0.38)

Both Teams to Score:

56.63% ▲ (+0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.31% ▲ (+0.97)

Under 2.5 46.68% ▼ (-0.97)

Over 3.5 31.05% ▲ (+0.91)

Under 3.5 68.95% ▼ (-0.91)

Over 4.5 15.4% ▲ (+0.63)

Under 4.5 84.6% ▼ (-0.63)

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5 72.43% ▲ (+0.84)

Under 0.5 27.56% ▼ (-0.84)

Over 1.5 36.91% ▲ (+1.07)

Under 1.5 63.08% ▼ (-1.07)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5 78.18% ▲ (+0.24)

Under 0.5 21.82% ▼ (-0.24)

Over 1.5 44.96% ▲ (+0.36)

Under 1.5 55.04% ▼ (-0.36)

Score analysis

Cardiff MU 32.21%

Draw 25.02%

Newtown AFC 42.76%

Cardiff MU

1-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.14)

2-1 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.11)

2-0 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.04)

3-1 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.12)

3-2 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.11)

3-0 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.07)

4-1 @ 1.05% ▼ (-98.05)

Other @ 2.91%

Total : 32.21%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.79% ▼ (-0.13)

0-0 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.25)

2-2 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.12)

3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.07)

Other @ 0.17%

Total : 25.02%

Newtown AFC

0-1 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.32)

1-2 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.03)

0-2 @ 6.97% ▼ (-0.19)

1-3 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.02)

0-3 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.07)

2-3 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.08)

1-4 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.02)

0-4 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)

2-4 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.04)

Other @ 2.43%

Total : 42.76%

Head to Head

Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 2 1

FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Ryan Sears 17'
Aaron Williams 31'
Henry Cowans 84'
Callum Roberts 89'

Chris Craven 42'
Matt Clubb 88'
Kyle McCarthy 90'+3'

Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Matthew Jones 49'

Sam Jones 54'
Eliot Evans 80'

Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Dec 22, 2022 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Eliot Evans 2'
Callum Roberts 72'

Matt Chubb 20' (OG)

Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Lewis Rees 42'

Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Brett Taylor 71'
George Hughes 82'

Chris Baker 66'
Chris Craven 69'
Matt Chubb 87'
Emlyn Lewis 90'

Form Data

Cardiff MU 2 - 1 Barry

Colwyn Bay 2 - 2 Cardiff MU

Cardiff MU 1 - 1 Haverfordwest

Cardiff MU 1 - 5 New Saints

Connah's Quay 4 - 0 Cardiff MU

Cardiff MU 2 - 0 Pontypridd

Newtown 4 - 0 Caernarfon

Newtown 1 - 0 Bala Town

Pontypridd 0 - 1 Newtown

Colwyn Bay 2 - 4 Newtown

Newtown 2 - 0 Barry

Haverfordwest 0 - 4 Newtown