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Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
3 - 1
Pontypridd

Sears (27'), Williams (51'), Ismail (90+6')
Evans (15'), Hughes (41'), Sears (45+2'), Wycherley (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Davies (75')
Rees (25'), Jones (39'), Davies (45+3'), Shepherd (56')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pontypridd Town AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-1 Newtown
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-3 Colwyn Bay
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 25.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawPontypridd Town AFC
49.55% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 25.35% (0.023 0.02) 25.09% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.86% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.97% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)52.03% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)73.76% (0.056000000000012 0.06)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.98% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)21.01% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.2% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)53.79% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39%35.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.62% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.38% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 49.55%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 25.09%
    Draw 25.35%
Newtown AFCDrawPontypridd Town AFC
1-0 @ 11.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.11% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 49.55%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.73% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 25.09%

Head to Head
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Pontypridd
0-1
Newtown

Hunt (35'), Shepherd (62'), Cummings (90+6')
Robles (80')
Hughes (3'), Roberts (45+1'), Robles (89')
Roberts (84')
Dec 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Newtown
4-2
Pontypridd
Robles (4', 40', 88'), Williams (15' pen.)
Ahmun (13', 90+1')
Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Pontypridd
1-4
Newtown
Rees (55')
Robles (17', 43'), Williams (27' pen.), Cowans (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints101000117189992
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1033470432759
3Bala TownBala Town103523831751
4Newtown AFCNewtown103254946344
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon102445270-1841
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU1012763102-3936
Relegation Round
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont106314637943
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest104333940-143
3Barry Town UnitedBarry101633654-1832
4Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth103342757-3027
5Colwyn Bay103253466-3225
6Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd103343672-3622
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813


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