Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
18.17% ( 0.2) | 22.7% ( 0.04) | 59.13% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 49.55% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.96% ( 0.14) | 49.04% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.88% ( 0.12) | 71.12% ( -0.12) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.15% ( 0.32) | 40.85% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.58% ( 0.28) | 77.42% ( -0.28) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.77% ( -0.03) | 16.24% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.25% ( -0.06) | 45.76% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
1-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 18.17% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.96% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.64% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 59.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 35 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 94 | 26 | 68 | 89 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 69 | 27 | 42 | 71 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 55 |
4 | Montrose | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 50 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 46 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 38 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 38 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 35 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 37 | 95 | -58 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |