Scottish League One | Gameweek 22

Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

Indodrill Stadium

Alloa
0 - 5
Falkirk

Neill (26')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Morrison (25'), Miller (50'), Henderson (63'), Tait (80'), Shanley (89')
Miller (56'), Donaldson (70')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Motherwell 3-1 Alloa
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Falkirk

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 2-1 Falkirk
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Falkirk
18.17% ( 0.2)	22.7% ( 0.04)	59.13% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 49.55% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.96% (

0.14)

49.04% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.88% (

0.12)

71.12% (

-0.12)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.15% (

0.32)

40.85% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.58% (

0.28)

77.42% (

-0.28)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.77% (

-0.03)

16.24% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.25% (

-0.06)

45.76% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 18.17%

Falkirk 59.13%

Draw 22.7%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Falkirk
1-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 18.17%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.7%	0-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.96% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.64% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 59.13%